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Water Conflict Between India and Pakistan

CSS 2012 Solved Current Affairs Past Papers | Water Conflict of India and Pakistan wrt Climate Change

The following question of CSS Current Affairs 2012 is solved by Sir Ammar Hashmi, the best Current Affairs Coach, on the guided pattern of Sir Syed Kazim Ali, which he taught to his students, scoring the highest marks in compulsory subjects for years. This solved past paper question is uploaded to help aspirants understand how to crack a topic or question, write relevantly, what coherence is, and how to include and connect ideas, opinions, and suggestions to score the maximum.

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Question Breakdown

This question has one part to evaluate the significance of the water conflict between India and Pakistan, especially from the international climate change perspective.

Outline

1-Introduction

2-Historical Context of the India-Pakistan Water Conflict

3-Significance of the Water Conflict Between India and Pakistan in the Context of Global Climate Change

  • ✓Historical importance: shaping national identities and bilateral relations
  • ✓Contemporary relevance: climate change as a catalyst for new challenges
  • ✓Opportunities for cooperation: pathways to joint water management and conflict resolution

4-Impact of Climate Change on the India-Pakistan Water Conflict

  • ✓Glacial melting: implications for water availability
  • ✓Unpredictable monsoon patterns: effects on agriculture
  • ✓Increasing demand for water: competition for resources

5-Role of International Institutions in Addressing the Water Conflict in the Context of Climate Change

  • ✓The World Bank: Facilitating climate-resilient water management initiatives
  • ✓The United Nations: Promoting climate adaptation and sustainable practices in the region
  • ✓The role of international NGOs: Supporting dialogue and cooperation on climate-related water issues

6-Critical Analysis

7-Conclusion

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Introduction

Water is a lifeblood critical to the global and national economy, producing agricultural products, industry and human consumption. Extended in the context of contemporary challenges to climate change, the India-Pakistan water conflict has emerged as a significant source of historic and contemporary grievance and confrontation. To some degree, the Indus River system conflict dominates national identities and bilateral relations and has important ramifications on regional stability. As glacial melting accelerates and monsoon patterns change due to climate change, competition for water resources increases, increasing an intractable tension. Moreover, international institutions serve as pivotal points in this conflict, making the conflict sustainable and promoting cooperation between the two nations. The water conflict is significant for this context and a critical event in the history of the water conflict, but also a cause for current relevance, resulting in opportunities to collaborate and pointing out a necessity for cooperative water management strategies. Ultimately, climate change must be addressed as part of this conflict in the interest of peace and security in the region as the fates of India and Pakistan (and indeed of the world) — are entwined in managing their shared water resources in a less specific future climate.

Historical Context of the India-Pakistan Water Conflict

The natural resources between India and Pakistan are particularly relevant to this ongoing struggle, and the Indus River system is at the centre of this seemingly never-ending dispute. From the twinning and partition of British India in 1947, the division of water resources began a series of disputes as both countries competed to meet their agricultural and domestic water needs. In 1960, the World Bank held a hand in the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty, intending to set a framework for equitable water sharing and to assign the eastern rivers of the Indus to India and the western rivers of the Indus to Pakistan. Though this treaty exists, continuous water scarcity challenges, irrigation demands, and national sovereignty all work to fuel continuing conflicts, especially with an enhanced population and agricultural pressure. Military confrontations, such as the Indo-Pak wars, have compounded the situation by stressing water as a principal element constituting national security. However, with glacial melting in the Himalayas and erratic monsoons, the historical background to this conflict is all the more relevant as climate change deepens the fault line between the two nations, and the importance of sustainable cooperation and conflict resolution takes on a new meaning in this time.

Significance of the Water Conflict Between India and Pakistan in the Context of Global Climate Change

  • Historical importance: shaping national identities and bilateral relations

The historical significance of the India-Pakistan water conflict consists of the formative effect on the two countries’ national identities and political relations since their emergence. Water has been perceived in this part of the world, particularly the waters of the Indus system, not just as a natural resource but a symbol of sovereignty and pride, leading to political rhetoric, competition and lack of trust. Agriculture has always been the backbone of Pakistan, primarily through the Indus waters. It is important for fuelling its water security, and in some cases is even an influential and sensitive perception against Indian water projects. At the same time, India considers control of the upstream waters a gain that strengthens its diplomatic standing at the regional level and destabilises networks of that nature. Thus, the historical context of the water conflict has put the clocks of suspicion and rivalry where water management issues have shifted to the political and therefore elevated as a political concern compounding the problem; cooperating in this drought-stricken environment of pre-existing tension is already tough.

  • Contemporary relevance: climate change as a catalyst for new challenges

The onset of climate change has provided a critical new catalyst for the intensity of the India-Pakistan water conflict and how it impacts water resource management and bilateral relations. Both countries are raising tension as increased water scarcity worsens existing tensions, which grow due to climate change, leading to unpredictable weather patterns, including altered monsoon rainfall and melting glaciers in the Himalayas. The changed climate landscape complicates agricultural planning and threatens food security in highly dependent regions of the Indus River system. In addition, the increasing intensity of the need for water renders India’s and Pakistan’s demands upon water resources further competition among these two nations as each rails water necessity in scarce waters. As a result, this has already begun to change the conflict dynamics around water availability, as climate change poses both immediate threats to water availability and implies an imperative to begin talking with each other and finding ways to work together to address these new emerging challenges and reduce the risk of further escalation.

  • Opportunities for cooperation: pathways to joint water management and conflict resolution

While there continue to be underlying tensions over the India–Pakistan water conflict and the existence of substantial cooperation opportunities through joint water management schemes and conflict resolution mechanisms, both countries have an interest in seeing the Indus River system used successfully and would benefit from cooperation. Data sharing of water usage, joint hydrological studies, and the creation of transboundary water management committees are all initiatives that help breed transparency and trust. In addition, it can use international support, i.e. support from the World Bank and other organizations, or at least dialogue and technical expertise for developing integrated water resource management strategies. While it is important to address the many other challenges they face together, such as climate adaptation, disaster resilience can be a focus area to reduce tension and build a foundation for lasting peace for India and Pakistan to work on jointly. Finally, these cooperative pathways promote water security, advance regional stability more broadly, and turn what was once a contentious resource into a driver of collaboration.

Impact of Climate Change on the India-Pakistan Water Conflict

  • Glacial melting: implications for water availability

A critical challenge to the water dynamics between India and Pakistan is the fast melting of glaciers in the Himalayas due to climate change. However, as glaciers that serve as the Indus system’s leading water sources continue to shrink rapidly, the water flow from that natural resource becomes increasingly erratic, with periodic flooding and extreme scarcity. This only complicates already strained relations as postures are so distinct that the country downstream relies on a steady water supply for irrigation and sustenance. Due to the power of key upstream reservoirs, India is under pressure to meet its domestic needs and fulfil the Indus Waters Treaty. Besides the threat to the long-term availability of water sources, the shrinking glaciers have compounded the problem of using already scarce water resources, making the management of water conflicts sustainably and cooperatively even more challenging.

  • Unpredictable monsoon patterns: effects on agriculture

The escalating water tension between India and Pakistan is not mainly attributed to India’s thirst for water to sustain its booming agriculture industry but to climate change, which makes monsoons irregular. It relies on the monsoon rainfall to charge its rivers, which is also the irrigation system of the Indus River system. Climatic changes are characterised by irregular and uneven rainfall distribution, which leads to drought in one season and floods in the other, leading to fluctuations in crop production and food security in the two countries. Agriculture is another important sector in Pakistan’s economy, and it offers many employment opportunities; however, crop losses due to monsoon faults enhance vulnerability. Like India, another problem it confronts is addressing the issue of its immense agricultural production with areas that primarily draw their water supply from the Indus basin. The competition for water resources keeps escalating, increasing the relations between the two countries and the need for solutions regarding the impacts of the monsoon pattern changes.

  • Increasing demand for water: competition for resources

Past and present water use in India and Pakistan, as well as current population growth development and agricultural trends, have heightened the competition for water and amplified water conflict. About 70% of Pakistan’s population is associated with agriculture. Hence, the water requirement for irrigation has become very high, putting much pressure on the Indus River System. Similarly, India’s industrial and agricultural sectors are developing and utilizing the vast water resources the transboundary rivers require. However, as demand grows, it becomes a real problem because both countries have poor water management, wastage, and lack of water infrastructure. However, continuing demands to meet this growing pressure are tied to rising bilateral relations with demands for water management solutions and allied cooperation, which will have to be undertaken by both countries.

Role of International Institutions in Addressing the Water Conflict in the Context of Climate Change

  • The World Bank: Facilitating climate-resilient water management initiatives

On the subject of the India-Pakistan water conflict, the World Bank has contributed significantly to the climate-resilient approaches aligned with global actions to tackle climate change. Beyond its historic mediation role in the Indus Waters Treaty, the institution has set climate adaptation on the agenda as a mediator. To mitigate the impacts of melting glaciers and to make irrigation systems more sustainable, the World Bank funds projects. In addition, it urged both countries to work together to face confrontation given climate imperatives as working components of regional climate diplomacy and dialogue on renewable energy and water conservation. This demonstrates the importance of international institutions in reconfiguring climate-based problems as opportunities for cooperation.

  • The United Nations: Promoting climate adaptation and sustainable practices in the region

Embedding global climate change priorities into regional water management strategies has been central to addressing the response of the United Nations to the India-Pakistan water conflict. The UN says that advocating climate adaptation under frameworks such as the Paris Agreement sketches how sustainable water-sharing mechanisms must fall in line with international climate goals. The UN has provided both nations with financial support to build climate-resilient infrastructure and sustainable, low-water agricultural practices to minimize the increased volatile monsoon and heightened risks of glacial melting. Furthermore, realizing the shared vulnerability of India and Pakistan to climate (induced) water stress, the UN, through its focus on climate diplomacy, encourages cooperation rather than conflict through explicit attempts to engage in dialogue. The UN can serve as an agent for the linkage of global climate change efforts to the specific Indus Basin dynamics for stabilization through sustainable water resource management.

  • The role of international NGOs: Supporting dialogue and cooperation on climate-related water issues

International NGOs contribute to addressing the India-Pakistan water conflict by filling the voids in dialogue and cooperation by utilising a global climate change perspective. The International Water Management Institute (IWMI) and the World Resources Institute (WRI) offer technical expertise and action solutions for sustainable water management, such as climate-resilient irrigation systems and data-sharing mechanisms. They also act as mediators by arranging forums and workshops to create trust between India and Pakistan. Additionally, instead of zero-sum between itself, NGOs focus on the typical outcomes of climate change — such as glacial retreat and altered monsoon patterns — rather than competing against the conflict as one. They urge these two nations to act in concert in acknowledging global climate action goals for local water policies that make sense for coping with climate change and resource scarcity risks.

Critical Analysis

To critically analyse, climate change intensifies the added stress of geopolitics, one of the most sensitive environments in which water conflict is present between India and Pakistan. It magnifies existing complex conditions of water conflict. Climate change is now pitting increasing water scarcity against glacial melting and uncertain monsoon patterns. It no longer just raises the struggle over shared resources between the two countries. It redrafts the script on national security for each. This begins with a historical grievance, but today, it is a time when each country needs to think of solutions together because of the reality of climate change today. Joint water management and international support are opportunities to surpass zero-sum perceptions and open up to cooperation based on shared vulnerabilities. There is also little room for dialogue based on entrenched political divisions and trust. This is a consequence because it is not simply about the near-term effects on regional stability. However, if the two countries address water through the weaponisation of diplomacy or a strategy of dissonance, it could drive transformative collaboration if climate change can catalyse collective action.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the water conflict between the two countries is another significant regional problem because of historical enmity rooted in nationalism and climate change. Despite this, water conflicts between the two nations are emerging as both countries begin to feel the impacts of the melting glaciers, erratic monsoon patterns, and extreme water demand. However, international institutions like the World Bank and the United Nations must facilitate cooperation, push sustainability forward and ensure that these resolve the tensions. In addition, the ability of international NGOs to catalyse dialogue and shared resource management also provides pathways to collaboration. However, the future of the India-Pakistan water conflict depends on whether that cooperation can be established and, therefore, whether the relationship between the two countries can pivot from competitive to cooperative, acknowledging that climate change poses a challenge and an opportunity for peace. India and Pakistan may convert their water disputes into a reliable foundation for sustainable development and regional stability if they institute mutual interests and collaborative governance over settled rivalries.

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